Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

Badaro No. 19 Ship Investment Company (155900.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,319.95 - $6,116.26$5,207.09
Multi-Stage$6,794.86 - $7,440.21$7,111.39
Blended Fair Value$6,159.24
Current Price$29,100,000.00
Upside-99.98%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS0.00%-0.27%349.05351.92350.96350.01350.01349.05351.92350.01350.01300.28
YoY Growth---0.82%0.27%0.27%0.00%0.27%-0.82%0.55%0.00%16.56%-16.25%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,050.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,349.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,701.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,010.071,256.29753.78
Cash Retained (M)4,701.234,701.234,701.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,010.07-1,256.29-753.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,691.163,444.943,947.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.2015.2015.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share177.05226.64259.71
LTM Dividend per Share351.92351.92351.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share177.05226.64259.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend528.97578.57611.63
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4,319.95$5,207.09$6,116.26
Upside / Downside-99.99%-99.98%-99.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,050.349,949.849,850.349,751.839,654.329,557.779,844.51
Payout Ratio53.22%60.58%67.93%75.29%82.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,349.116,027.466,691.727,342.087,978.778,602.009,106.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5,424.165,479.515,534.86
Year 2 PV (M)5,419.185,530.345,642.63
Year 3 PV (M)5,350.745,516.225,685.07
Year 4 PV (M)5,232.745,449.615,673.15
Year 5 PV (M)5,076.805,341.165,616.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)76,776.5580,774.4884,937.25
Equity Value (M)103,280.18108,091.33113,089.39
Shares Outstanding (M)15.2015.2015.20
Fair Value$6,794.86$7,111.39$7,440.21
Upside / Downside-99.98%-99.98%-99.97%

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