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Kardex Holding AG (0QOL.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Capital GoodsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,094.36 - $3,898.91$3,568.36
Multi-Stage$505.99 - $553.09$529.11
Blended Fair Value$2,048.73
Current Price$295.26
Upside593.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.38%8.90%5.113.564.223.634.243.580.000.000.001.57
YoY Growth--43.27%-15.64%16.43%-14.37%18.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-27.98%
Dividend Yield--1.77%1.52%2.75%1.26%2.37%2.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)151.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)87.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)63.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.2618.9111.35
Cash Retained (M)63.4063.4063.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.26-18.91-11.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)33.1444.4952.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.727.727.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.295.766.74
LTM Dividend per Share11.3911.3911.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.295.766.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.6817.1518.13
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,094.36$3,568.36$3,898.91
Upside / Downside270.64%1,108.55%1,220.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)151.30161.13171.61182.76194.64207.29213.51
Payout Ratio58.10%64.48%70.86%77.24%83.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)87.90103.90121.60141.16162.76186.56197.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)96.1897.0998.00
Year 2 PV (M)104.20106.18108.19
Year 3 PV (M)111.98115.19118.47
Year 4 PV (M)119.52124.11128.84
Year 5 PV (M)126.82132.94139.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,346.263,507.883,675.70
Equity Value (M)3,904.954,083.404,268.49
Shares Outstanding (M)7.727.727.72
Fair Value$505.99$529.11$553.09
Upside / Downside71.37%79.20%87.32%

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