Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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AB Sagax (publ) (0QDX.IL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$801.09 - $1,745.68$1,635.96
Multi-Stage$264.02 - $288.95$276.25
Blended Fair Value$956.11
Current Price$196.30
Upside387.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.36%21.09%3.523.002.532.141.841.511.291.040.810.65
YoY Growth--17.10%18.82%18.06%16.64%21.25%16.91%24.09%29.10%23.55%26.04%
Dividend Yield--1.67%1.09%1.06%0.75%0.97%1.51%1.44%2.09%1.88%1.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,248.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,374.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,874.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)649.60406.00243.60
Cash Retained (M)1,874.001,874.001,874.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-649.60-406.00-243.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,224.401,468.001,630.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)370.03370.03370.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.313.974.41
LTM Dividend per Share3.713.713.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.313.974.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.027.688.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$801.09$1,635.96$1,745.68
Upside / Downside308.09%733.40%789.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,248.003,459.123,683.963,923.424,178.444,450.044,583.54
Payout Ratio42.30%51.84%61.38%70.92%80.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,374.001,793.292,261.282,782.543,362.004,005.044,239.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,669.211,685.031,700.85
Year 2 PV (M)1,959.181,996.502,034.17
Year 3 PV (M)2,243.992,308.412,374.04
Year 4 PV (M)2,523.702,620.752,720.58
Year 5 PV (M)2,798.382,933.543,073.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)86,498.3590,676.2595,014.05
Equity Value (M)97,692.81102,220.48106,917.58
Shares Outstanding (M)370.03370.03370.03
Fair Value$264.02$276.25$288.95
Upside / Downside34.50%40.73%47.20%

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