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Definitive Analysis

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Koh Young Technology Inc. (098460.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,613.21 - $4,094.87$3,294.26
Multi-Stage$4,878.50 - $5,358.41$5,113.82
Blended Fair Value$4,204.04
Current Price$14,450.00
Upside-70.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.10%11.35%137.93140.92121.83111.68115.08130.60135.4280.0959.9359.90
YoY Growth---2.13%15.67%9.09%-2.95%-11.89%-3.56%69.08%33.64%0.05%27.25%
Dividend Yield--1.02%0.76%0.72%0.59%0.50%0.84%0.77%0.40%0.58%0.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17,755.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,237.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,518.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,551.162,219.481,331.69
Cash Retained (M)8,518.588,518.588,518.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,551.16-2,219.48-1,331.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,967.426,299.117,186.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)66.5966.5966.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share74.6094.60107.93
LTM Dividend per Share138.73138.73138.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share74.6094.60107.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend213.33233.33246.66
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate-0.90%0.10%1.10%
Fair Value$2,613.21$3,294.26$4,094.87
Upside / Downside-81.92%-77.20%-71.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17,755.8117,773.1717,790.5517,807.9517,825.3617,842.7918,378.08
Payout Ratio52.02%59.62%67.21%74.81%82.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,237.2310,596.1811,957.7813,322.0314,688.9416,058.5116,999.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate-0.90%0.10%1.10%
Year 1 PV (M)9,786.899,885.659,984.41
Year 2 PV (M)10,200.9610,407.8710,616.87
Year 3 PV (M)10,496.7810,817.7711,145.24
Year 4 PV (M)10,689.8511,127.9111,579.30
Year 5 PV (M)10,793.9811,349.6911,928.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)272,872.77286,921.30301,542.59
Equity Value (M)324,841.21340,510.19356,796.46
Shares Outstanding (M)66.5966.5966.59
Fair Value$4,878.50$5,113.82$5,358.41
Upside / Downside-66.24%-64.61%-62.92%

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