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Definitive Analysis

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Sang-A Frontec Co.,Ltd. (089980.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,950.75 - $10,657.96$8,680.59
Multi-Stage$14,907.55 - $16,421.15$15,649.43
Blended Fair Value$12,165.01
Current Price$15,930.00
Upside-23.63%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.57%0.00%194.91194.91194.91151.97151.84163.54123.68115.27111.420.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%28.25%0.08%-7.16%32.23%7.30%3.45%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.36%0.97%0.60%0.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,304.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,118.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)9,186.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,460.851,538.03922.82
Cash Retained (M)9,186.159,186.159,186.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,460.85-1,538.03-922.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,725.307,648.128,263.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.0016.0016.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share420.38478.07516.52
LTM Dividend per Share194.91194.91194.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share420.38478.07516.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend615.29672.97711.43
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6,950.75$8,680.59$10,657.96
Upside / Downside-56.37%-45.51%-33.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,304.2612,181.2112,059.4011,938.8111,819.4211,701.2312,052.26
Payout Ratio25.34%38.27%51.21%64.14%77.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,118.114,662.166,175.027,657.169,109.0310,531.1011,148.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4,326.284,370.434,414.58
Year 2 PV (M)5,317.345,426.415,536.58
Year 3 PV (M)6,118.586,307.816,500.89
Year 4 PV (M)6,754.357,034.297,322.83
Year 5 PV (M)7,246.257,623.578,016.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)208,728.18219,597.14230,914.23
Equity Value (M)238,490.98250,359.64262,705.58
Shares Outstanding (M)16.0016.0016.00
Fair Value$14,907.55$15,649.43$16,421.15
Upside / Downside-6.42%-1.76%3.08%

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