Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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LIG Nex1 Co., Ltd. (079550.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$397,989.21 - $1,439,417.97$662,907.57
Multi-Stage$250,913.14 - $274,393.44$262,439.13
Blended Fair Value$462,673.35
Current Price$540,000.00
Upside-14.32%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.04%12.23%1,949.791,499.841,199.87894.77605.59504.66504.66948.77948.77578.07
YoY Growth--30.00%25.00%34.10%47.75%20.00%0.00%-46.81%0.00%64.13%-5.97%
Dividend Yield--0.79%0.84%1.66%1.24%1.51%2.61%1.27%1.97%1.21%0.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)304,883.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52,306.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)252,576.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)60,976.6238,110.3922,866.23
Cash Retained (M)252,576.64252,576.64252,576.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-60,976.62-38,110.39-22,866.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)191,600.02214,466.25229,710.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.8021.8021.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share8,790.309,839.3710,538.75
LTM Dividend per Share2,399.742,399.742,399.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share8,790.309,839.3710,538.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend11,190.0412,239.1112,938.48
WACC / Discount Rate8.47%8.47%8.47%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$397,989.21$662,907.57$1,439,417.97
Upside / Downside-26.30%22.76%166.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)304,883.10324,700.50345,806.04368,283.43392,221.85417,716.27430,247.76
Payout Ratio17.16%31.72%46.29%60.86%75.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52,306.46103,011.20160,086.55224,146.48295,857.84375,944.65397,979.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.47%8.47%8.47%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)94,078.9694,970.7195,862.45
Year 2 PV (M)133,527.60136,070.92138,638.24
Year 3 PV (M)170,748.22175,649.79180,644.28
Year 4 PV (M)205,833.20213,748.97221,890.88
Year 5 PV (M)238,871.51250,409.09262,388.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,626,031.544,849,470.595,081,461.18
Equity Value (M)5,469,091.035,720,320.075,980,885.28
Shares Outstanding (M)21.8021.8021.80
Fair Value$250,913.14$262,439.13$274,393.44
Upside / Downside-53.53%-51.40%-49.19%

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