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Definitive Analysis

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Hyundai Department Store Co. Ltd. (069960.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,015,530.04 - $1,627,560.00$1,525,262.07
Multi-Stage$262,663.38 - $287,718.59$274,959.85
Blended Fair Value$900,110.96
Current Price$88,500.00
Upside917.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.25%7.87%1,736.181,895.881,103.541,013.961,024.70931.90828.36730.08732.33866.94
YoY Growth---8.42%71.80%8.83%-1.05%9.96%12.50%13.46%-0.31%-15.53%6.49%
Dividend Yield--2.90%3.50%2.02%1.34%1.13%1.58%0.82%0.79%0.73%0.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)178,284.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40,294.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)137,990.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35,656.9722,285.6013,371.36
Cash Retained (M)137,990.26137,990.26137,990.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-35,656.97-22,285.60-13,371.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)102,333.30115,704.66124,618.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.7921.7921.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,697.425,311.215,720.40
LTM Dividend per Share1,849.651,849.651,849.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,697.425,311.215,720.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend6,547.077,160.857,570.05
WACC / Discount Rate6.18%6.18%6.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,015,530.04$1,525,262.07$1,627,560.00
Upside / Downside1,047.49%1,623.46%1,739.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)178,284.83189,873.34202,215.11215,359.09229,357.43244,265.66251,593.63
Payout Ratio22.60%36.08%49.56%63.04%76.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40,294.5768,508.17100,219.30135,763.43175,504.87219,839.09232,724.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.18%6.18%6.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)63,914.8664,520.6965,126.52
Year 2 PV (M)87,230.9088,892.4190,569.59
Year 3 PV (M)110,245.61113,410.37116,635.12
Year 4 PV (M)132,961.89138,075.23143,334.66
Year 5 PV (M)155,382.63162,887.66170,679.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,172,385.895,422,214.075,681,603.75
Equity Value (M)5,722,121.795,990,000.436,267,949.57
Shares Outstanding (M)21.7921.7921.79
Fair Value$262,663.38$274,959.85$287,718.59
Upside / Downside196.79%210.69%225.11%

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