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Definitive Analysis

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SiS International Holdings Limited (0529.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$59.50 - $210.62$196.52
Multi-Stage$30.34 - $33.26$31.77
Blended Fair Value$114.14
Current Price$1.65
Upside6,817.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-22.16%-12.92%0.020.020.020.000.020.070.040.030.030.05
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-71.43%75.00%33.34%0.14%-39.98%-37.42%
Dividend Yield--1.39%1.30%1.33%0.00%1.25%2.30%1.00%0.59%0.78%1.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)295.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)284.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.1936.9922.20
Cash Retained (M)284.84284.84284.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.19-36.99-22.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)225.65247.84262.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)277.97277.97277.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.810.890.94
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.810.890.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.850.930.98
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate4.93%5.93%6.93%
Fair Value$59.50$196.52$210.62
Upside / Downside3,505.91%11,810.11%12,664.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)295.95313.50332.09351.79372.65394.74406.59
Payout Ratio3.76%21.01%38.25%55.50%72.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.1265.85127.04195.25271.11355.27376.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate4.93%5.93%6.93%
Year 1 PV (M)61.2961.8762.46
Year 2 PV (M)110.04112.15114.28
Year 3 PV (M)157.40161.95166.58
Year 4 PV (M)203.41211.28219.37
Year 5 PV (M)248.08260.13272.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,652.178,023.828,409.77
Equity Value (M)8,432.408,831.209,245.09
Shares Outstanding (M)277.97277.97277.97
Fair Value$30.34$31.77$33.26
Upside / Downside1,738.55%1,825.50%1,915.74%

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