Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Namhae Chemical Corporation (025860.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11,678.00 - $29,153.86$17,521.38
Multi-Stage$14,202.51 - $15,596.13$14,886.11
Blended Fair Value$16,203.74
Current Price$7,830.00
Upside106.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.71%4.57%60.23100.3860.2380.3060.2350.1980.3045.1760.2348.58
YoY Growth---40.00%66.67%-25.00%33.33%20.00%-37.50%77.78%-25.00%23.98%26.04%
Dividend Yield--0.97%1.37%0.67%0.73%0.67%0.72%0.70%0.32%0.67%0.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25,761.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,835.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)21,925.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,152.263,220.171,932.10
Cash Retained (M)21,925.4321,925.4321,925.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,152.26-3,220.17-1,932.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)16,773.1618,705.2619,993.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)47.7747.7747.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share351.13391.58418.55
LTM Dividend per Share80.3080.3080.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share351.13391.58418.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend431.44471.88498.85
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate2.57%3.57%4.57%
Fair Value$11,678.00$17,521.38$29,153.86
Upside / Downside49.14%123.77%272.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25,761.3226,679.7427,630.8928,615.9529,636.1430,692.6931,613.47
Payout Ratio14.89%29.91%44.93%59.96%74.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,835.907,980.4712,415.6917,157.0022,220.5927,623.4229,242.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate2.57%3.57%4.57%
Year 1 PV (M)7,431.217,503.677,576.12
Year 2 PV (M)10,765.4710,976.4211,189.42
Year 3 PV (M)13,852.7114,261.8714,679.00
Year 4 PV (M)16,706.3017,367.4318,048.00
Year 5 PV (M)19,338.9720,300.3021,299.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)610,337.90640,677.46672,211.74
Equity Value (M)678,432.58711,087.16745,003.76
Shares Outstanding (M)47.7747.7747.77
Fair Value$14,202.51$14,886.11$15,596.13
Upside / Downside81.39%90.12%99.18%

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