Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

China Express Airlines Co.,LTD (002928.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.14 - $32.01$17.45
Multi-Stage$10.30 - $11.28$10.78
Blended Fair Value$14.11
Current Price$10.02
Upside40.84%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.72%26.88%0.160.160.130.150.130.120.100.040.010.04
YoY Growth---0.30%20.91%-11.01%12.70%9.25%23.40%128.43%255.29%-68.49%159.43%
Dividend Yield--2.18%2.68%1.13%1.44%0.82%1.40%1.00%0.25%0.09%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)581.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)155.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)425.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)116.2472.6543.59
Cash Retained (M)425.25425.25425.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-116.24-72.65-43.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)309.00352.60381.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,277.411,277.411,277.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.280.30
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.280.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.400.42
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate3.72%4.72%5.72%
Fair Value$11.14$17.45$32.01
Upside / Downside11.15%74.11%219.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)581.22608.68637.43667.54699.07732.09754.05
Payout Ratio26.84%39.47%52.10%64.73%77.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)155.98240.24332.11432.13540.85658.88697.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate3.72%4.72%5.72%
Year 1 PV (M)222.14224.28226.42
Year 2 PV (M)283.96289.46295.02
Year 3 PV (M)341.65351.62361.79
Year 4 PV (M)395.40410.87426.79
Year 5 PV (M)445.40467.29490.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,462.6212,025.9412,611.19
Equity Value (M)13,151.1713,769.4614,411.24
Shares Outstanding (M)1,277.411,277.411,277.41
Fair Value$10.30$10.78$11.28
Upside / Downside2.75%7.58%12.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 15 of 30 Next »
Ticker ⇵ Company ⇵ Dividend Yield % ▼ Dividend Per Share ⇵ Payout Ratio % ⇵
0R28.LNewmont Corporation2.49%$1.0115.53%
ETREntergy Corporation2.49%$2.3457.35%
NKENIKE, Inc.2.49%$1.5880.59%
OTTROtter Tail Corporation2.49%$2.0330.69%
FHNFirst Horizon Corporation2.48%$0.6034.42%
PWPPerella Weinberg Partners2.48%$0.4469.65%
SCSSteelcase Inc.2.48%$0.4050.05%
PBIPitney Bowes Inc.2.46%$0.2561.37%
RBCAARepublic Bancorp, Inc.2.45%$1.6725.85%
SRCE1st Source Corporation2.45%$1.5325.20%
TRMKTrustmark Corporation2.45%$0.9626.11%
VOYAVoya Financial, Inc.2.45%$1.8629.46%
AWKAmerican Water Works Company, Inc.2.44%$3.1855.85%
LSTRLandstar System, Inc.2.44%$3.5890.21%
NGLNGL Energy Partners LP2.44%$0.2424.52%
TCFCThe Community Financial Corporation2.44%$0.6612.72%
CADECadence Bank2.43%$1.0537.49%
JNJJohnson & Johnson2.43%$5.0448.70%
MBCNMiddlefield Banc Corp.2.43%$0.8342.36%
0L7G.LSnap-on Incorporated2.42%$8.4344.15%
ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc.2.42%$6.0458.20%
MOFGMidWestOne Financial Group, Inc.2.40%$0.9232.44%
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc.2.39%$0.7242.45%
ADPAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.2.38%$6.0359.30%
CALCaleres, Inc.2.38%$0.2946.21%
ABMABM Industries Incorporated2.37%$1.0154.79%
FUNCFirst United Corporation2.36%$0.8822.87%
HONHoneywell International Inc.2.36%$4.6348.21%
RILYKB. Riley Financial, Inc. 5.50% Senior Notes Due 20262.36%$0.5856.91%
CDWCDW Corporation2.35%$3.1439.31%
CHMGChemung Financial Corporation2.35%$1.2846.47%
LZBLa-Z-Boy Incorporated2.35%$0.8840.20%
PKGPackaging Corporation of America2.35%$4.9750.31%
UNPUnion Pacific Corporation2.35%$5.4445.77%
0K91.LNorthern Trust Corporation2.34%$3.2035.68%
MCDMcDonald's Corporation2.33%$7.0760.14%
MGEEMGE Energy, Inc.2.32%$1.8249.49%
MZTIThe Marzetti Company2.32%$3.8261.80%
UNMUnum Group2.32%$1.7933.52%
RILYMB. Riley Financial, Inc. - 6.372.31%$0.5856.91%
RILYOB. Riley Financial, Inc. - 6.752.31%$0.5856.91%
HONIVHoneywell International Inc. Common Stock Ex Distribution When Issued2.30%$4.6348.21%
PGRThe Progressive Corporation2.30%$4.8826.80%
WNEBWestern New England Bancorp, Inc.2.30%$0.2843.00%
0R23.LHalliburton Company2.29%$0.6844.61%
ADSBread Financial Holdings, Inc.2.29%$1.3021.08%
HLNEHamilton Lane Incorporated2.29%$3.1374.09%
BSVNBank7 Corp.2.28%$0.9420.81%
MCBCMacatawa Bank Corporation2.28%$0.3428.37%
BRKLBrookline Bancorp, Inc.2.27%$0.5461.06%