Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zhejiang Viewshine Intelligent Meter Co.,Ltd (002849.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.50 - $4.54$3.35
Multi-Stage$3.28 - $3.60$3.43
Blended Fair Value$3.39
Current Price$15.15
Upside-77.61%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.13%3.83%0.060.030.030.030.030.030.050.040.040.00
YoY Growth--121.78%-4.72%0.00%0.09%-0.16%-36.34%9.09%10.76%2,080.62%-95.89%
Dividend Yield--0.41%0.17%0.20%0.31%0.35%0.32%0.39%0.34%0.15%0.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)38.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.804.872.92
Cash Retained (M)26.4526.4526.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.80-4.87-2.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.6521.5823.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)223.64223.64223.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate1.85%2.85%3.85%
Fair Value$2.50$3.35$4.54
Upside / Downside-83.51%-77.90%-70.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)38.9940.1041.2442.4243.6244.8746.21
Payout Ratio32.16%43.72%55.29%66.86%78.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.5417.5322.8028.3634.2140.3842.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate1.85%2.85%3.85%
Year 1 PV (M)16.1516.3016.46
Year 2 PV (M)19.3419.7220.10
Year 3 PV (M)22.1522.8123.48
Year 4 PV (M)24.6125.5926.60
Year 5 PV (M)26.7428.0829.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)624.25655.50687.99
Equity Value (M)733.23768.00804.11
Shares Outstanding (M)223.64223.64223.64
Fair Value$3.28$3.43$3.60
Upside / Downside-78.36%-77.33%-76.27%

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