Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Limin Group Co., Ltd. (002734.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural InputsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$116.19 - $192.97$180.84
Multi-Stage$31.26 - $34.22$32.71
Blended Fair Value$106.78
Current Price$17.86
Upside497.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.31%26.74%0.370.320.380.330.320.330.230.170.120.07
YoY Growth--16.34%-17.42%16.42%2.61%-2.33%41.49%34.37%40.46%77.23%101.56%
Dividend Yield--3.49%4.61%3.85%2.99%2.41%2.60%1.98%1.47%0.87%0.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)420.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)175.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)244.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)84.0252.5231.51
Cash Retained (M)244.36244.36244.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-84.02-52.52-31.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)160.34191.85212.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)432.99432.99432.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.370.440.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.370.440.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.780.850.90
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$116.19$180.84$192.97
Upside / Downside550.57%912.54%980.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)420.12447.43476.52507.49540.48575.61592.88
Payout Ratio41.84%51.47%61.10%70.73%80.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)175.76230.29291.16358.97434.36518.05548.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)214.80216.83218.87
Year 2 PV (M)253.30258.13263.00
Year 3 PV (M)291.29299.66308.18
Year 4 PV (M)328.77341.41354.42
Year 5 PV (M)365.73383.40401.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,080.8112,664.3213,270.16
Equity Value (M)13,534.7014,163.7414,816.35
Shares Outstanding (M)432.99432.99432.99
Fair Value$31.26$32.71$34.22
Upside / Downside75.02%83.16%91.60%

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