Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd. (002475.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$118.76 - $431.89$372.44
Multi-Stage$53.49 - $58.58$55.99
Blended Fair Value$214.22
Current Price$64.69
Upside231.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS46.89%43.13%0.500.340.250.110.140.070.050.040.030.02
YoY Growth--50.26%35.86%132.17%-26.55%96.46%37.53%37.46%41.56%45.50%35.46%
Dividend Yield--1.23%1.13%0.81%0.34%0.43%0.25%0.35%0.35%0.36%0.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15,808.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,276.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)14,532.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,161.801,976.121,185.67
Cash Retained (M)14,532.1314,532.1314,532.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,161.80-1,976.12-1,185.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,370.3412,556.0113,346.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,279.637,279.637,279.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.561.721.83
LTM Dividend per Share0.180.180.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.561.721.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.741.902.01
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$118.76$372.44$431.89
Upside / Downside83.58%475.73%567.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15,808.9916,836.5717,930.9519,096.4620,337.7321,659.6822,309.47
Payout Ratio8.08%24.46%40.85%57.23%73.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,276.854,118.467,324.0910,929.0414,971.6919,493.7220,636.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,811.343,847.473,883.60
Year 2 PV (M)6,272.486,391.966,512.56
Year 3 PV (M)8,661.868,910.519,163.88
Year 4 PV (M)10,981.0311,403.3311,837.70
Year 5 PV (M)13,231.5313,870.6214,534.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)346,420.27363,152.49380,525.10
Equity Value (M)389,378.52407,576.39426,457.00
Shares Outstanding (M)7,279.637,279.637,279.63
Fair Value$53.49$55.99$58.58
Upside / Downside-17.32%-13.45%-9.44%

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