Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Integrated Electronic Systems Lab Co., Ltd. (002339.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.23 - $17.56$16.45
Multi-Stage$8.80 - $9.69$9.24
Blended Fair Value$12.84
Current Price$7.79
Upside64.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.73%3.83%0.070.050.060.080.090.110.100.100.090.07
YoY Growth--49.43%-16.43%-30.46%-13.77%-15.40%11.93%2.72%6.28%37.67%36.70%
Dividend Yield--1.00%0.71%0.69%1.38%1.52%1.75%1.38%1.38%0.63%0.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)46.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.285.803.48
Cash Retained (M)18.6418.6418.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.28-5.80-3.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.3612.8415.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)507.72507.72507.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.070.080.08
WACC / Discount Rate2.44%2.44%2.44%
Growth Rate1.83%2.83%3.83%
Fair Value$12.23$16.45$17.56
Upside / Downside57.00%111.14%125.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)46.4047.7249.0750.4651.8953.3654.96
Payout Ratio59.84%65.87%71.90%77.93%83.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.7731.4335.2839.3343.5748.0350.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.44%2.44%2.44%
Growth Rate1.83%2.83%3.83%
Year 1 PV (M)30.3830.6830.98
Year 2 PV (M)32.9733.6234.28
Year 3 PV (M)35.5236.5837.66
Year 4 PV (M)38.0539.5641.12
Year 5 PV (M)40.5442.5744.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,291.274,506.154,729.55
Equity Value (M)4,468.734,689.164,918.26
Shares Outstanding (M)507.72507.72507.72
Fair Value$8.80$9.24$9.69
Upside / Downside12.99%18.56%24.35%

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