Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Qiming Information Technology Co.,Ltd (002232.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.10 - $0.13$0.12
Multi-Stage$0.18 - $0.20$0.19
Blended Fair Value$0.16
Current Price$20.90
Upside-99.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.11%17.95%0.010.050.050.040.020.010.050.100.000.00
YoY Growth---80.00%0.00%19.05%147.06%30.77%-74.00%-50.00%10,224.55%-48.69%-1.61%
Dividend Yield--0.05%0.32%0.31%0.27%0.15%0.15%0.47%0.96%0.01%0.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.891.180.71
Cash Retained (M)5.385.385.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.89-1.18-0.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.484.194.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)408.79408.79408.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.020.020.02
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-7.11%-6.11%-5.11%
Fair Value$0.10$0.12$0.13
Upside / Downside-99.52%-99.44%-99.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9.468.888.347.837.356.907.11
Payout Ratio43.17%52.54%61.90%71.27%80.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.094.675.165.585.936.216.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-7.11%-6.11%-5.11%
Year 1 PV (M)4.204.244.29
Year 2 PV (M)4.184.274.36
Year 3 PV (M)4.064.194.33
Year 4 PV (M)3.884.054.23
Year 5 PV (M)3.663.864.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)55.3258.3661.54
Equity Value (M)75.2978.9882.81
Shares Outstanding (M)408.79408.79408.79
Fair Value$0.18$0.19$0.20
Upside / Downside-99.12%-99.08%-99.03%

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