Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Fujian Septwolves Industry Co., Ltd. (002029.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.68 - $33.50$20.40
Multi-Stage$54.12 - $59.74$56.87
Blended Fair Value$38.64
Current Price$8.03
Upside381.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.48%1.23%0.130.010.070.100.110.110.110.110.110.11
YoY Growth--2,292.54%-92.50%-32.68%-6.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.98%0.09%1.19%1.89%2.08%2.14%1.44%1.23%1.07%1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)451.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)67.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)384.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)90.3656.4733.88
Cash Retained (M)384.21384.21384.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-90.36-56.47-33.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)293.86327.74350.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)679.13679.13679.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.430.480.52
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.430.480.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.530.580.62
WACC / Discount Rate3.09%3.09%3.09%
Growth Rate-0.77%0.23%1.23%
Fair Value$13.68$20.40$33.50
Upside / Downside70.40%154.10%317.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)451.78452.83453.88454.93455.99457.04470.75
Payout Ratio14.96%29.96%44.97%59.98%74.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)67.56135.69204.12272.88341.95411.34435.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate3.09%3.09%3.09%
Growth Rate-0.77%0.23%1.23%
Year 1 PV (M)130.30131.62132.93
Year 2 PV (M)188.25192.06195.92
Year 3 PV (M)241.68249.06256.59
Year 4 PV (M)290.84302.74315.00
Year 5 PV (M)335.98353.25371.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)35,567.3437,395.9639,299.03
Equity Value (M)36,754.3938,624.6940,570.70
Shares Outstanding (M)679.13679.13679.13
Fair Value$54.12$56.87$59.74
Upside / Downside573.97%608.27%643.95%

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