Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen Highpower Technology Co., Ltd. (001283.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$172.27 - $469.70$440.18
Multi-Stage$66.20 - $72.44$69.26
Blended Fair Value$254.72
Current Price$76.59
Upside232.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS44.82%0.00%1.140.760.420.172.920.180.120.000.000.00
YoY Growth--49.84%82.52%138.33%-94.01%1,532.27%46.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.01%1.88%0.74%0.23%3.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)188.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)73.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)115.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37.7723.6114.17
Cash Retained (M)115.10115.10115.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-37.77-23.61-14.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)77.3291.49100.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)79.9779.9779.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.971.141.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.920.920.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.971.141.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.892.072.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$172.27$440.18$469.70
Upside / Downside124.92%474.72%513.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)188.87201.15214.23228.15242.98258.77266.54
Payout Ratio39.06%49.25%59.44%69.62%79.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)73.7899.07127.33158.85193.93232.90246.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)92.0192.8893.75
Year 2 PV (M)109.84111.93114.04
Year 3 PV (M)127.27130.92134.65
Year 4 PV (M)144.31149.86155.57
Year 5 PV (M)160.96168.74176.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,659.354,884.405,118.06
Equity Value (M)5,293.745,538.735,792.88
Shares Outstanding (M)79.9779.9779.97
Fair Value$66.20$69.26$72.44
Upside / Downside-13.57%-9.57%-5.42%

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