DDM Analysis: 000576.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.91 - $1.23	$1.08
Multi-Stage	$1.55 - $1.72	$1.63
Blended Fair Value	$1.35
Current Price	$10.73
Upside	-87.38%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	-27.14%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.21	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.04	0.06
YoY Growth	-	-	136.32%	-47.86%	-99.54%	2,672.05%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-34.60%	111.29%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.02%	0.01%	0.01%	1.72%	0.07%	0.00%	0.19%	0.00%	0.24%	0.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	78.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)	77.81

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	15.60	9.75	5.85
Cash Retained (M)	77.81	77.81	77.81
(-) Cash Required (M)	-15.60	-9.75	-5.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)	62.21	68.06	71.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	398.27	398.27	398.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.16	0.17	0.18
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.16	0.17	0.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.16	0.17	0.18
WACC / Discount Rate	9.75%	9.75%	9.75%
Growth Rate	-6.33%	-5.33%	-4.33%
Fair Value	$0.91	$1.08	$1.23
Upside / Downside	-91.50%	-89.98%	-88.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	78.02	73.86	69.92	66.19	62.66	59.32	61.10
Payout Ratio	0.26%	18.21%	36.16%	54.10%	72.05%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.20	13.45	25.28	35.81	45.15	53.38	56.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.75%	9.75%	9.75%
Growth Rate	-6.33%	-5.33%	-4.33%
Year 1 PV (M)	12.12	12.25	12.38
Year 2 PV (M)	20.55	20.99	21.43
Year 3 PV (M)	26.24	27.09	27.95
Year 4 PV (M)	29.82	31.11	32.45
Year 5 PV (M)	31.79	33.52	35.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)	498.32	525.50	553.84
Equity Value (M)	618.84	650.46	683.39
Shares Outstanding (M)	398.27	398.27	398.27
Fair Value	$1.55	$1.63	$1.72
Upside / Downside	-85.52%	-84.78%	-84.01%

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Guangdong Ganhua Science and Industry Co., Ltd. (000576.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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