Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ildong Holdings Co., Ltd. (000230.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42,050.08 - $60,897.81$51,206.17
Multi-Stage$67,235.54 - $74,029.54$70,565.96
Blended Fair Value$60,886.06
Current Price$11,700.00
Upside420.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.06%-11.11%104.32119.1797.6897.6894.57177.26181.0692.59633.03420.32
YoY Growth---12.46%22.01%0.00%3.28%-46.65%-2.10%95.56%-85.37%50.61%24.12%
Dividend Yield--1.70%1.29%0.76%0.45%0.66%2.31%1.53%0.68%3.54%1.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66,919.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)120.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)66,799.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13,383.878,364.925,018.95
Cash Retained (M)66,799.0266,799.0266,799.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-13,383.87-8,364.92-5,018.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)53,415.1658,434.1161,780.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.5611.5611.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,620.495,054.635,344.07
LTM Dividend per Share10.4110.4110.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,620.495,054.635,344.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,630.905,065.045,354.47
WACC / Discount Rate8.79%8.79%8.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$42,050.08$51,206.17$60,897.81
Upside / Downside259.40%337.66%420.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66,919.3466,250.1565,587.6564,931.7764,282.4563,639.6365,548.82
Payout Ratio0.18%18.14%36.11%54.07%72.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)120.3212,020.3223,682.3135,109.8646,306.4857,275.6760,632.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.79%8.79%8.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)10,937.2411,048.8411,160.45
Year 2 PV (M)19,606.8320,009.0120,415.28
Year 3 PV (M)26,448.6927,266.6328,101.27
Year 4 PV (M)31,740.1233,055.6034,411.56
Year 5 PV (M)35,721.4237,581.5139,518.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)652,822.17686,816.14722,211.70
Equity Value (M)777,276.47815,777.75855,818.55
Shares Outstanding (M)11.5611.5611.56
Fair Value$67,235.54$70,565.96$74,029.54
Upside / Downside474.66%503.13%532.73%

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