Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

The Property Franchise Group PLC (TPFG.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.08 - $23.59$14.80
Multi-Stage$7.35 - $8.02$7.68
Blended Fair Value$11.24
Current Price$5.50
Upside104.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS32.33%41.20%0.180.090.080.060.010.050.040.030.030.02
YoY Growth--110.41%11.86%31.04%439.11%-75.59%10.26%18.79%20.43%42.22%246.15%
Dividend Yield--4.52%2.50%3.46%1.92%0.58%2.26%3.62%2.54%2.29%1.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.732.961.77
Cash Retained (M)13.1613.1613.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.73-2.96-1.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.4310.2011.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.1849.1849.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.380.420.44
WACC / Discount Rate9.53%9.53%9.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10.08$14.80$23.59
Upside / Downside83.23%169.15%328.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23.6525.1826.8228.5630.4232.4033.37
Payout Ratio44.35%53.48%62.61%71.74%80.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.4913.4716.7920.4924.6029.1630.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.53%9.53%9.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)12.1812.3012.41
Year 2 PV (M)13.7414.0014.26
Year 3 PV (M)15.1615.6016.04
Year 4 PV (M)16.4617.0917.75
Year 5 PV (M)17.6518.5019.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)286.23300.05314.40
Equity Value (M)361.41377.54394.25
Shares Outstanding (M)49.1849.1849.18
Fair Value$7.35$7.68$8.02
Upside / Downside33.61%39.57%45.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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