Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

STV Group plc (STVG.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BroadcastingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.42 - $8.97$6.17
Multi-Stage$5.49 - $6.01$5.75
Blended Fair Value$5.96
Current Price$1.75
Upside240.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.67%12.29%0.110.110.110.090.000.160.150.130.090.07
YoY Growth---1.92%1.96%15.91%0.00%-100.00%10.14%11.29%44.19%26.47%112.50%
Dividend Yield--4.94%5.66%3.95%2.69%0.00%3.94%4.22%4.06%2.60%1.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.401.500.90
Cash Retained (M)1.801.801.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.40-1.50-0.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.600.300.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46.6746.6746.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.220.24
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate2.56%3.56%4.56%
Fair Value$4.42$6.17$8.97
Upside / Downside152.53%252.80%412.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12.0012.4312.8713.3313.8014.2914.72
Payout Ratio85.00%86.00%87.00%88.00%89.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.2010.6911.2011.7312.2812.8613.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate2.56%3.56%4.56%
Year 1 PV (M)9.869.9610.05
Year 2 PV (M)9.539.729.91
Year 3 PV (M)9.219.489.76
Year 4 PV (M)8.909.269.62
Year 5 PV (M)8.609.039.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)210.28220.73231.60
Equity Value (M)256.39268.18280.42
Shares Outstanding (M)46.6746.6746.67
Fair Value$5.49$5.75$6.01
Upside / Downside213.93%228.37%243.35%

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