Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Smiths News plc (SNWS.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: PublishingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.89 - $1.19$1.05
Multi-Stage$1.58 - $1.73$1.65
Blended Fair Value$1.35
Current Price$0.55
Upside146.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-4.82%0.040.040.020.000.010.000.100.100.090.09
YoY Growth--10.20%60.66%408.33%-50.00%0.00%-100.00%2.12%3.96%6.07%20.90%
Dividend Yield--7.60%9.28%8.00%1.20%4.83%0.00%31.50%9.32%5.57%5.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)50.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)30.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.166.353.81
Cash Retained (M)30.1030.1030.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.16-6.35-3.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.9423.7526.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)248.38248.38248.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.180.19
WACC / Discount Rate10.28%10.28%10.28%
Growth Rate-6.82%-5.82%-4.82%
Fair Value$0.89$1.05$1.19
Upside / Downside62.71%91.04%117.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)50.8047.8445.0642.4439.9737.6438.77
Payout Ratio40.75%50.60%60.45%70.30%80.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.7024.2127.2429.8332.0433.8835.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.28%10.28%10.28%
Growth Rate-6.82%-5.82%-4.82%
Year 1 PV (M)21.7221.9522.18
Year 2 PV (M)21.9222.4022.87
Year 3 PV (M)21.5422.2422.96
Year 4 PV (M)20.7521.6622.59
Year 5 PV (M)19.6920.7721.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)286.29301.98318.36
Equity Value (M)391.92411.00430.87
Shares Outstanding (M)248.38248.38248.38
Fair Value$1.58$1.65$1.73
Upside / Downside187.93%201.95%216.55%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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