Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$361.02 - $1,929.96$653.28
Multi-Stage$256.37 - $280.93$268.42
Blended Fair Value$460.85
Current Price$36.86
Upside1,150.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.65%-8.91%1.240.831.190.920.630.491.942.063.373.41
YoY Growth--49.27%-29.74%28.71%46.38%29.38%-74.92%-5.76%-38.95%-0.98%7.69%
Dividend Yield--3.87%2.44%3.75%1.89%1.33%2.35%9.99%6.33%8.01%6.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,639.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)442.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,197.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)727.80454.88272.93
Cash Retained (M)3,197.003,197.003,197.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-727.80-454.88-272.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,469.202,742.132,924.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)328.66328.66328.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.518.348.90
LTM Dividend per Share1.341.341.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.518.348.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.869.6910.24
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate4.56%5.56%6.56%
Fair Value$361.02$653.28$1,929.96
Upside / Downside879.43%1,672.33%5,135.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,639.003,841.384,055.024,280.534,518.594,769.894,912.99
Payout Ratio12.15%27.72%43.29%58.86%74.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)442.001,064.711,755.322,519.463,363.154,292.904,544.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate4.56%5.56%6.56%
Year 1 PV (M)984.47993.881,003.30
Year 2 PV (M)1,500.691,529.541,558.65
Year 3 PV (M)1,991.632,049.332,108.12
Year 4 PV (M)2,458.202,553.602,651.74
Year 5 PV (M)2,901.273,042.693,189.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)74,421.4378,048.8981,816.45
Equity Value (M)84,257.7088,217.9292,327.82
Shares Outstanding (M)328.66328.66328.66
Fair Value$256.37$268.42$280.93
Upside / Downside595.53%628.22%662.14%

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