Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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RENK Group AG (R3NK.BE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.11 - $13.94$11.37
Multi-Stage$19.63 - $21.61$20.60
Blended Fair Value$15.98
Current Price$87.61
Upside-81.76%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.300.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)101.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)42.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)59.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.2912.687.61
Cash Retained (M)59.4259.4259.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.29-12.68-7.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)39.1346.7451.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)100.03100.03100.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.390.470.52
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.390.470.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.810.890.94
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9.11$11.37$13.94
Upside / Downside-89.60%-87.03%-84.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)101.45100.4399.4398.4397.4596.4799.37
Payout Ratio41.42%51.14%60.85%70.57%80.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)42.0251.3660.5169.4678.2486.8391.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)47.6348.1248.61
Year 2 PV (M)52.0553.1254.19
Year 3 PV (M)55.4257.1358.88
Year 4 PV (M)57.8960.2962.77
Year 5 PV (M)59.5962.6965.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,691.201,779.261,870.96
Equity Value (M)1,963.782,060.622,161.33
Shares Outstanding (M)100.03100.03100.03
Fair Value$19.63$20.60$21.61
Upside / Downside-77.59%-76.49%-75.34%

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