Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Porvair plc (PRV.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.88 - $20.38$14.75
Multi-Stage$9.51 - $10.40$9.94
Blended Fair Value$12.35
Current Price$8.14
Upside51.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.55%7.81%0.060.060.050.050.050.050.040.040.040.03
YoY Growth--5.52%7.51%5.67%4.08%4.99%9.66%10.63%8.86%9.87%11.62%
Dividend Yield--0.93%0.99%0.99%0.74%0.91%0.77%1.00%0.83%0.84%1.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.474.052.43
Cash Retained (M)26.8926.8926.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.47-4.05-2.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.4222.8524.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46.0246.0246.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.440.500.53
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.440.500.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.560.620.65
WACC / Discount Rate9.75%9.75%9.75%
Growth Rate4.36%5.36%6.36%
Fair Value$10.88$14.75$20.38
Upside / Downside33.68%81.19%150.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.3734.1035.9337.8539.8842.0243.28
Payout Ratio16.92%31.53%46.15%60.77%75.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.4810.7516.5823.0030.0637.8240.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.75%9.75%9.75%
Growth Rate4.36%5.36%6.36%
Year 1 PV (M)9.709.809.89
Year 2 PV (M)13.5013.7614.03
Year 3 PV (M)16.9117.4017.90
Year 4 PV (M)19.9420.7221.52
Year 5 PV (M)22.6423.7524.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)354.89372.22390.23
Equity Value (M)437.59457.65478.45
Shares Outstanding (M)46.0246.0246.02
Fair Value$9.51$9.94$10.40
Upside / Downside16.80%22.16%27.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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