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Definitive Analysis

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Petershill Partners PLC (PHLL.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.03 - $10.07$8.52
Multi-Stage$11.65 - $12.77$12.20
Blended Fair Value$10.36
Current Price$3.06
Upside238.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.360.150.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--146.57%156.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--11.55%6.72%2.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,267.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)761.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)505.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)253.46158.4195.05
Cash Retained (M)505.91505.91505.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-253.46-158.41-95.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)252.46347.50410.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,241.161,241.161,241.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.280.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.610.610.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.280.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.820.890.94
WACC / Discount Rate9.38%9.38%9.38%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.03$8.52$10.07
Upside / Downside129.87%178.46%229.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,267.281,254.611,242.061,229.641,217.341,205.171,241.32
Payout Ratio60.08%66.06%72.05%78.03%84.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)761.36828.83894.87959.511,022.761,084.651,148.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.38%9.38%9.38%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)750.10757.75765.41
Year 2 PV (M)732.93747.97763.16
Year 3 PV (M)711.22733.22755.66
Year 4 PV (M)686.09714.53743.84
Year 5 PV (M)658.50692.79728.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,926.0011,494.9412,087.34
Equity Value (M)14,464.8415,141.2015,843.89
Shares Outstanding (M)1,241.161,241.161,241.16
Fair Value$11.65$12.20$12.77
Upside / Downside280.86%298.67%317.17%

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