Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

OEM International AB (publ) (OEM-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$366.48 - $865.53$811.13
Multi-Stage$127.72 - $139.77$133.64
Blended Fair Value$472.38
Current Price$143.00
Upside230.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.27%10.15%1.751.501.371.250.001.121.000.910.830.71
YoY Growth--16.83%9.13%9.98%0.00%-100.00%12.55%9.05%10.04%17.62%6.28%
Dividend Yield--1.28%1.41%1.50%1.53%0.00%3.46%3.17%3.27%2.57%3.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)605.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)243.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)361.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)121.0075.6345.38
Cash Retained (M)361.40361.40361.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-121.00-75.63-45.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)240.40285.78316.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)139.01139.01139.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.732.062.27
LTM Dividend per Share1.751.751.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.732.062.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.483.814.03
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$366.48$811.13$865.53
Upside / Downside156.28%467.22%505.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)605.00644.33686.21730.81778.31828.90853.77
Payout Ratio40.26%50.21%60.16%70.11%80.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)243.60323.53412.81512.34623.06746.01789.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)300.92303.77306.63
Year 2 PV (M)357.14363.94370.81
Year 3 PV (M)412.28424.11436.17
Year 4 PV (M)466.34484.28502.72
Year 5 PV (M)519.36544.44570.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,698.1116,456.3317,243.57
Equity Value (M)17,754.1518,576.8819,430.39
Shares Outstanding (M)139.01139.01139.01
Fair Value$127.72$133.64$139.77
Upside / Downside-10.69%-6.55%-2.26%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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