Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Mony Group PLC (MONY.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.46 - $3.66$3.03
Multi-Stage$3.48 - $3.79$3.63
Blended Fair Value$3.33
Current Price$2.21
Upside50.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.11%4.93%0.120.120.120.120.120.190.100.100.090.08
YoY Growth--3.31%0.96%0.00%0.00%-37.20%76.99%4.44%5.79%13.67%11.12%
Dividend Yield--6.33%4.20%6.07%5.39%4.46%5.60%3.80%2.79%3.23%2.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)158.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)132.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.7019.8111.89
Cash Retained (M)26.5026.5026.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.70-19.81-11.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)-5.206.6914.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)539.18539.18539.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate10.11%10.11%10.11%
Growth Rate0.49%1.49%2.49%
Fair Value$2.46$3.03$3.66
Upside / Downside11.19%37.07%65.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)158.50160.86163.25165.69168.15170.66175.78
Payout Ratio83.28%84.62%85.97%87.31%88.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)132.00136.13140.35144.66149.08153.59162.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.11%10.11%10.11%
Growth Rate0.49%1.49%2.49%
Year 1 PV (M)122.41123.63124.85
Year 2 PV (M)113.50115.77118.06
Year 3 PV (M)105.20108.37111.61
Year 4 PV (M)97.49101.43105.49
Year 5 PV (M)90.3294.9199.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,345.531,413.831,484.87
Equity Value (M)1,874.461,957.932,044.55
Shares Outstanding (M)539.18539.18539.18
Fair Value$3.48$3.63$3.79
Upside / Downside57.31%64.31%71.58%

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