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Definitive Analysis

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Manchester & London Investment Trust plc (MNL.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$104.61 - $221.91$148.51
Multi-Stage$75.05 - $82.04$78.48
Blended Fair Value$113.50
Current Price$9.30
Upside1,120.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS10.74%11.95%0.210.140.140.210.140.120.100.060.070.03
YoY Growth--47.39%-0.11%-33.50%55.25%9.56%27.31%70.49%-20.84%174.95%-60.69%
Dividend Yield--2.23%2.00%3.13%5.41%2.38%1.95%1.88%1.12%2.03%1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)222.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)211.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.5027.8116.69
Cash Retained (M)211.34211.34211.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.50-27.81-16.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)166.84183.53194.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.9139.9139.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.184.604.88
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.184.604.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.464.885.16
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$104.61$148.51$221.91
Upside / Downside1,024.79%1,496.91%2,286.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)222.52236.98252.39268.79286.26304.87314.02
Payout Ratio5.02%22.02%39.01%56.01%73.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.1852.1898.46150.55208.98274.38290.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)46.9947.4447.88
Year 2 PV (M)79.8681.3882.91
Year 3 PV (M)109.96113.11116.33
Year 4 PV (M)137.46142.75148.19
Year 5 PV (M)162.53170.38178.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,458.612,577.362,700.66
Equity Value (M)2,995.413,132.423,274.50
Shares Outstanding (M)39.9139.9139.91
Fair Value$75.05$78.48$82.04
Upside / Downside706.98%743.89%782.17%

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