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Definitive Analysis

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Mediterranean Towers Ltd. (MDTR.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$85.94 - $404.17$190.18
Multi-Stage$45.60 - $49.87$47.70
Blended Fair Value$118.94
Current Price$13.57
Upside776.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.86%6.17%0.520.390.520.520.000.330.330.260.190.00
YoY Growth--33.33%-25.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%25.00%40.35%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--4.58%4.07%7.39%4.82%0.00%4.96%5.00%3.64%3.36%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)310.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)100.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)210.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)62.1938.8723.32
Cash Retained (M)210.94210.94210.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-62.19-38.87-23.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)148.75172.07187.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)153.00153.00153.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.971.121.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.650.650.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.971.121.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.631.781.88
WACC / Discount Rate7.50%7.50%7.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$85.94$190.18$404.17
Upside / Downside533.32%1,301.46%2,878.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)310.94331.15352.67375.60400.01426.01438.79
Payout Ratio32.16%43.73%55.30%66.86%78.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)100.00144.81195.02251.14313.74383.41405.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.50%7.50%7.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)133.44134.71135.97
Year 2 PV (M)165.61168.77171.95
Year 3 PV (M)196.54202.18207.93
Year 4 PV (M)226.26234.96243.91
Year 5 PV (M)254.81267.12279.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,999.966,289.766,590.66
Equity Value (M)6,976.637,297.517,630.32
Shares Outstanding (M)153.00153.00153.00
Fair Value$45.60$47.70$49.87
Upside / Downside236.03%251.48%267.51%

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