Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Mafia Trends Limited (MAFIA.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.69 - $20.42$16.89
Multi-Stage$25.30 - $27.88$26.57
Blended Fair Value$21.73
Current Price$13.21
Upside64.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.480.930.56
Cash Retained (M)6.956.956.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.48-0.93-0.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.476.036.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.444.444.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.231.361.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.231.361.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.461.54
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$13.69$16.89$20.42
Upside / Downside3.62%27.87%54.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.407.337.257.187.117.047.25
Payout Ratio6.08%22.86%39.65%56.43%73.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.451.682.884.055.216.336.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1.541.561.57
Year 2 PV (M)2.442.492.54
Year 3 PV (M)3.163.263.36
Year 4 PV (M)3.733.894.05
Year 5 PV (M)4.184.404.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)97.19102.25107.52
Equity Value (M)112.24117.84123.66
Shares Outstanding (M)4.444.444.44
Fair Value$25.30$26.57$27.88
Upside / Downside91.55%101.10%111.04%

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