Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Libra Insurance Company Ltd (LBRA.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.74 - $13.85$11.76
Multi-Stage$14.67 - $16.12$15.38
Blended Fair Value$13.57
Current Price$16.25
Upside-16.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.220.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)56.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.238.274.96
Cash Retained (M)56.1656.1656.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.23-8.27-4.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)42.9347.8951.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)45.3245.3245.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.951.061.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.951.061.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.171.281.35
WACC / Discount Rate9.75%9.75%9.75%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9.74$11.76$13.85
Upside / Downside-40.07%-27.63%-14.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66.1665.5064.8464.2063.5562.9264.81
Payout Ratio15.11%30.09%45.07%60.05%75.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.0019.7129.2238.5547.6856.6359.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.75%9.75%9.75%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)17.7817.9618.14
Year 2 PV (M)23.7724.2624.75
Year 3 PV (M)28.2829.1630.05
Year 4 PV (M)31.5532.8634.21
Year 5 PV (M)33.8035.5637.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)529.90557.50586.23
Equity Value (M)665.09697.29730.77
Shares Outstanding (M)45.3245.3245.32
Fair Value$14.67$15.38$16.12
Upside / Downside-9.70%-5.33%-0.78%

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