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Krynica Vitamin S.A. (KVT.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Non-AlcoholicSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.24 - $93.53$46.00
Multi-Stage$27.21 - $29.84$28.50
Blended Fair Value$37.25
Current Price$10.20
Upside265.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.200.001.472.240.660.240.170.740.00
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%-100.00%-34.38%239.40%175.03%41.14%-77.02%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.90%0.00%10.14%11.73%15.75%4.36%2.88%10.36%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.591.620.97
Cash Retained (M)9.669.669.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.59-1.62-0.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.078.048.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.2512.2512.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.580.660.71
LTM Dividend per Share0.270.270.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.580.660.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.850.930.98
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate3.50%4.50%5.50%
Fair Value$28.24$46.00$93.53
Upside / Downside176.83%350.96%817.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12.9713.5614.1714.8015.4716.1716.65
Payout Ratio25.50%38.40%51.30%64.20%77.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.315.217.279.5011.9314.5515.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate3.50%4.50%5.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4.844.884.93
Year 2 PV (M)6.276.396.52
Year 3 PV (M)7.627.848.07
Year 4 PV (M)8.899.239.59
Year 5 PV (M)10.0710.5711.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)295.72310.28325.41
Equity Value (M)333.41349.21365.61
Shares Outstanding (M)12.2512.2512.25
Fair Value$27.21$28.50$29.84
Upside / Downside166.78%179.43%192.55%

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