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Definitive Analysis

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Jacquet Metals S.A. (JCQ.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.80 - $17.21$11.23
Multi-Stage$11.16 - $12.23$11.69
Blended Fair Value$11.46
Current Price$22.10
Upside-48.16%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-24.73%-11.76%0.191.051.070.430.210.770.770.550.440.85
YoY Growth---82.35%-1.41%149.91%99.31%-72.13%-0.14%39.98%25.23%-48.11%30.43%
Dividend Yield--0.95%5.71%5.96%2.17%1.08%9.00%4.97%1.87%1.94%6.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.771.110.66
Cash Retained (M)0.450.450.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.77-1.11-0.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.32-0.65-0.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.5621.5621.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.06-0.03-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.390.390.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.06-0.03-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.38
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate2.06%3.06%4.06%
Fair Value$7.80$11.23$17.21
Upside / Downside-64.72%-49.20%-22.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8.849.119.399.689.9710.2810.59
Payout Ratio94.90%93.92%92.94%91.96%90.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.398.568.738.909.079.259.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate2.06%3.06%4.06%
Year 1 PV (M)7.978.058.13
Year 2 PV (M)7.577.727.87
Year 3 PV (M)7.197.407.62
Year 4 PV (M)6.827.097.37
Year 5 PV (M)6.486.807.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)204.71214.94225.57
Equity Value (M)240.73251.99263.69
Shares Outstanding (M)21.5621.5621.56
Fair Value$11.16$11.69$12.23
Upside / Downside-49.48%-47.12%-44.67%

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