Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Isras Investment Company Ltd (ISRS.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,880.51 - $15,585.76$10,366.09
Multi-Stage$1,924.17 - $2,102.99$2,011.95
Blended Fair Value$6,189.02
Current Price$882.00
Upside601.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.06%22.15%45.0231.2547.8441.4625.2222.3215.9512.2111.858.90
YoY Growth--44.08%-34.68%15.38%64.42%12.95%40.00%30.57%3.06%33.21%46.15%
Dividend Yield--5.72%4.17%8.09%5.18%3.92%3.45%3.13%2.94%2.89%2.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)398.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)224.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)174.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)79.6749.8029.88
Cash Retained (M)174.01174.01174.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-79.67-49.80-29.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)94.34124.21144.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.085.085.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share18.5624.4428.35
LTM Dividend per Share44.1444.1444.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share18.5624.4428.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend62.7068.5772.49
WACC / Discount Rate7.20%7.20%7.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,880.51$10,366.09$15,585.76
Upside / Downside339.97%1,075.29%1,667.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)398.37424.27451.85481.22512.49545.81562.18
Payout Ratio56.32%63.06%69.79%76.53%83.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)224.36267.53315.35368.26426.72491.23520.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.20%7.20%7.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)247.20249.55251.89
Year 2 PV (M)269.26274.39279.57
Year 3 PV (M)290.56298.90307.40
Year 4 PV (M)311.10323.07335.37
Year 5 PV (M)330.93346.91363.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,332.038,734.479,152.32
Equity Value (M)9,781.0810,227.2910,690.05
Shares Outstanding (M)5.085.085.08
Fair Value$1,924.17$2,011.95$2,102.99
Upside / Downside118.16%128.11%138.43%

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