Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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Inrom Construction Industries Ltd (INRM.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.30 - $16.65$13.16
Multi-Stage$14.58 - $15.97$15.26
Blended Fair Value$14.21
Current Price$21.80
Upside-34.82%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-14.44%-4.55%0.250.230.250.170.050.540.760.730.840.37
YoY Growth--7.02%-6.11%43.83%218.29%-90.03%-28.57%4.65%-13.20%127.31%-7.18%
Dividend Yield--1.64%1.98%2.04%1.16%0.33%4.44%6.05%4.47%5.83%3.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)139.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)69.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)70.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.9417.4610.48
Cash Retained (M)70.3370.3370.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.94-17.46-10.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)42.3952.8759.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)148.02148.02148.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.360.40
LTM Dividend per Share0.470.470.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.360.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.760.830.87
WACC / Discount Rate8.36%8.36%8.36%
Growth Rate0.96%1.96%2.96%
Fair Value$10.30$13.16$16.65
Upside / Downside-52.74%-39.63%-23.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)139.70142.44145.23148.07150.97153.93158.55
Payout Ratio49.66%57.72%65.79%73.86%81.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)69.3782.2295.55109.37123.69138.53146.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.36%8.36%8.36%
Growth Rate0.96%1.96%2.96%
Year 1 PV (M)75.1475.8876.62
Year 2 PV (M)79.7981.3882.98
Year 3 PV (M)83.4685.9788.52
Year 4 PV (M)86.2689.7393.30
Year 5 PV (M)88.2892.7497.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,744.781,832.921,924.58
Equity Value (M)2,157.712,258.612,363.39
Shares Outstanding (M)148.02148.02148.02
Fair Value$14.58$15.26$15.97
Upside / Downside-33.13%-30.01%-26.76%

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