Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Incap Limited (INCAP.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.25 - $17.25$14.05
Multi-Stage$25.30 - $27.79$26.52
Blended Fair Value$20.29
Current Price$125.68
Upside-83.86%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%-1.84%1.001.001.001.001.000.001.001.001.001.21
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-16.91%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.13%1.65%2.70%2.83%4.32%0.00%3.19%1.54%2.64%4.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.280.800.48
Cash Retained (M)1.241.241.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.28-0.80-0.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.030.450.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.125.125.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.090.15
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.090.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.001.091.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.25$14.05$17.25
Upside / Downside-91.05%-88.82%-86.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6.386.316.256.196.126.066.24
Payout Ratio80.52%82.41%84.31%86.21%88.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.135.205.275.335.405.465.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4.834.884.93
Year 2 PV (M)4.544.634.72
Year 3 PV (M)4.264.394.53
Year 4 PV (M)4.004.174.34
Year 5 PV (M)3.753.954.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)108.14113.78119.64
Equity Value (M)129.52135.79142.31
Shares Outstanding (M)5.125.125.12
Fair Value$25.30$26.52$27.79
Upside / Downside-79.87%-78.90%-77.89%

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