Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Intercos S.p.A. (ICOS.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.60 - $7.11$5.76
Multi-Stage$10.40 - $11.46$10.92
Blended Fair Value$8.34
Current Price$12.92
Upside-35.44%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.190.170.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--12.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.45%1.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)47.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)29.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.525.953.57
Cash Retained (M)29.5629.5629.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.52-5.95-3.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.0523.6225.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)96.3096.3096.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.250.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.250.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.400.430.46
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.60$5.76$7.11
Upside / Downside-64.42%-55.40%-44.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)47.5847.1046.6346.1745.7145.2546.61
Payout Ratio37.87%48.29%58.72%69.15%79.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.0222.7527.3831.9236.3740.7243.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)21.1621.3721.59
Year 2 PV (M)23.6924.1824.67
Year 3 PV (M)25.6926.4827.29
Year 4 PV (M)27.2228.3529.51
Year 5 PV (M)28.3529.8331.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)875.69921.29968.77
Equity Value (M)1,001.801,051.501,103.20
Shares Outstanding (M)96.3096.3096.30
Fair Value$10.40$10.92$11.46
Upside / Downside-19.48%-15.49%-11.33%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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