Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hamat Group Ltd. (HAMAT.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$35.35 - $202.03$66.43
Multi-Stage$24.62 - $26.94$25.76
Blended Fair Value$46.09
Current Price$14.27
Upside223.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.310.000.500.470.000.000.620.740.93
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%-100.00%6.67%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-16.67%-20.00%-45.45%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.47%0.00%1.48%3.12%0.00%0.00%4.93%4.51%8.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.604.122.47
Cash Retained (M)17.9817.9817.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.60-4.12-2.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.3813.8615.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.2232.2232.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.430.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.470.470.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.430.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.820.900.95
WACC / Discount Rate7.10%7.10%7.10%
Growth Rate4.68%5.68%6.68%
Fair Value$35.35$66.43$202.03
Upside / Downside147.73%365.49%1,315.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.9834.8536.8338.9341.1443.4744.78
Payout Ratio45.48%54.38%63.29%72.19%81.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.0018.9623.3128.1033.3639.1241.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.10%7.10%7.10%
Growth Rate4.68%5.68%6.68%
Year 1 PV (M)17.5317.7017.87
Year 2 PV (M)19.9420.3220.71
Year 3 PV (M)22.2322.8723.53
Year 4 PV (M)24.4125.3526.32
Year 5 PV (M)26.4727.7629.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)682.79716.03750.56
Equity Value (M)793.36830.04868.08
Shares Outstanding (M)32.2232.2232.22
Fair Value$24.62$25.76$26.94
Upside / Downside72.56%80.54%88.82%

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