Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ho Bee Land Limited (H13.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.41 - $45.10$42.26
Multi-Stage$6.86 - $7.51$7.18
Blended Fair Value$24.72
Current Price$2.03
Upside1,117.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-17.84%-9.39%0.030.080.100.100.080.080.080.060.050.05
YoY Growth---62.50%-20.00%0.00%24.77%0.00%-0.07%33.33%19.91%-0.14%-37.54%
Dividend Yield--1.66%4.52%4.44%3.42%3.16%4.03%3.17%2.39%2.21%2.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)150.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)124.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.1218.8211.29
Cash Retained (M)124.02124.02124.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.12-18.82-11.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)93.90105.19112.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)664.02664.02664.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.160.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.160.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.200.21
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22.41$42.26$45.10
Upside / Downside1,004.06%1,981.94%2,121.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)150.58160.36170.79181.89193.71206.30212.49
Payout Ratio17.64%32.11%46.58%61.06%75.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.5651.5079.56111.05146.31185.67196.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)47.9648.4248.87
Year 2 PV (M)69.0270.3471.66
Year 3 PV (M)89.7492.3194.94
Year 4 PV (M)110.12114.35118.71
Year 5 PV (M)130.16136.45142.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,108.404,306.844,512.87
Equity Value (M)4,555.414,768.714,990.04
Shares Outstanding (M)664.02664.02664.02
Fair Value$6.86$7.18$7.51
Upside / Downside237.95%253.77%270.19%

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