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Emirates NBD Bank PJSC (EMIRATESNBD.AE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$197.99 - $714.47$629.95
Multi-Stage$90.18 - $98.68$94.35
Blended Fair Value$362.15
Current Price$22.80
Upside1,488.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.81%18.49%1.190.600.500.400.400.350.350.350.350.31
YoY Growth--100.03%20.00%24.99%0.00%13.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%14.29%40.00%
Dividend Yield--5.91%3.42%3.78%2.65%3.46%4.84%3.62%3.40%4.39%4.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22,790.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,439.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)16,351.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,558.002,848.751,709.25
Cash Retained (M)16,351.0016,351.0016,351.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,558.00-2,848.75-1,709.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,793.0013,502.2514,641.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,343.656,343.656,343.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.862.132.31
LTM Dividend per Share1.021.021.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.862.132.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.873.143.32
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$197.99$629.95$714.47
Upside / Downside768.38%2,662.94%3,033.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22,790.0024,271.3525,848.9927,529.1729,318.5731,224.2832,161.00
Payout Ratio28.25%40.60%52.95%65.30%77.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,439.009,854.8713,687.6017,976.9522,766.0828,101.8529,748.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9,121.009,207.459,293.91
Year 2 PV (M)11,724.9311,948.2612,173.69
Year 3 PV (M)14,252.4814,661.6215,078.51
Year 4 PV (M)16,705.3017,347.7318,008.53
Year 5 PV (M)19,085.0020,006.8220,963.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)501,150.50525,356.25550,488.42
Equity Value (M)572,039.20598,528.13626,006.96
Shares Outstanding (M)6,343.656,343.656,343.65
Fair Value$90.18$94.35$98.68
Upside / Downside295.50%313.82%332.82%

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