Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Clara Industries Ltd. (CLARA.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.00 - $8.52$7.24
Multi-Stage$8.90 - $9.78$9.33
Blended Fair Value$8.29
Current Price$19.37
Upside-57.22%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.782.361.42
Cash Retained (M)16.8416.8416.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.78-2.36-1.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.0614.4715.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.7720.7720.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.630.700.74
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.630.700.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.730.800.84
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.00$7.24$8.52
Upside / Downside-69.00%-62.61%-56.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18.9018.7118.5318.3418.1617.9818.52
Payout Ratio10.93%26.75%42.56%58.37%74.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.075.017.8910.7113.4716.1817.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4.514.564.60
Year 2 PV (M)6.406.536.66
Year 3 PV (M)7.838.078.32
Year 4 PV (M)8.879.249.62
Year 5 PV (M)9.6010.1010.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)147.64155.33163.33
Equity Value (M)184.85193.82203.16
Shares Outstanding (M)20.7720.7720.77
Fair Value$8.90$9.33$9.78
Upside / Downside-54.06%-51.83%-49.51%

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