Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Cohort plc (CHRT.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.51 - $167.33$52.60
Multi-Stage$16.94 - $18.52$17.72
Blended Fair Value$35.16
Current Price$13.70
Upside156.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS10.94%13.88%0.160.140.120.110.100.090.080.070.060.05
YoY Growth--15.68%9.25%9.39%10.29%10.23%11.23%14.14%19.30%17.89%22.27%
Dividend Yield--1.15%1.82%2.87%2.10%1.61%1.63%2.26%2.11%1.47%1.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)34.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)22.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.914.322.59
Cash Retained (M)22.4922.4922.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.91-4.32-2.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.5818.1719.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)41.0841.0841.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.380.440.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.380.440.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.670.740.78
WACC / Discount Rate7.99%7.99%7.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$28.51$52.60$167.33
Upside / Downside108.12%283.96%1,121.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)34.5736.8139.2041.7544.4747.3648.78
Payout Ratio34.93%45.95%56.96%67.97%78.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.0716.9122.3328.3835.1242.6245.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.99%7.99%7.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)15.5115.6615.81
Year 2 PV (M)18.7919.1519.51
Year 3 PV (M)21.9122.5423.18
Year 4 PV (M)24.8725.8326.81
Year 5 PV (M)27.6829.0230.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)587.21615.57645.02
Equity Value (M)695.97727.76760.73
Shares Outstanding (M)41.0841.0841.08
Fair Value$16.94$17.72$18.52
Upside / Downside23.66%29.31%35.17%

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