Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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CFF Fluid Control Ltd. (CFF.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$200.23 - $296.27$246.18
Multi-Stage$356.66 - $392.79$374.37
Blended Fair Value$310.27
Current Price$624.80
Upside-50.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.490.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)499.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)460.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)99.9362.4637.47
Cash Retained (M)460.71460.71460.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-99.93-62.46-37.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)360.78398.25423.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.8219.8219.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share18.2020.0921.35
LTM Dividend per Share1.971.971.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share18.2020.0921.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend20.1722.0623.32
WACC / Discount Rate7.87%7.87%7.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$200.23$246.18$296.27
Upside / Downside-67.95%-60.60%-52.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)499.66494.66489.72484.82479.97475.17489.43
Payout Ratio7.79%24.24%40.68%57.12%73.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38.95119.89199.20276.92353.06427.65452.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.87%7.87%7.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)110.02111.14112.26
Year 2 PV (M)167.75171.19174.67
Year 3 PV (M)214.00220.62227.37
Year 4 PV (M)250.38260.75271.45
Year 5 PV (M)278.31292.80307.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,048.246,363.196,691.12
Equity Value (M)7,068.697,419.697,784.76
Shares Outstanding (M)19.8219.8219.82
Fair Value$356.66$374.37$392.79
Upside / Downside-42.92%-40.08%-37.13%

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