Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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BlackRock Frontiers Investment Trust plc (BRFI.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.13 - $4.44$3.78
Multi-Stage$4.80 - $5.26$5.03
Blended Fair Value$4.40
Current Price$1.90
Upside131.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.78%16.72%0.080.070.070.080.100.100.070.060.060.05
YoY Growth--14.29%4.99%-14.26%-14.70%-1.01%35.80%19.41%7.29%9.16%184.45%
Dividend Yield--4.33%4.18%4.90%4.95%7.98%5.97%3.93%2.98%3.33%3.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)90.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)57.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.1511.356.81
Cash Retained (M)57.6557.6557.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.15-11.35-6.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)39.4946.3050.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)189.32189.32189.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.240.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.240.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.380.420.44
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.13$3.78$4.44
Upside / Downside64.88%98.74%133.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)90.7789.8788.9788.0887.2086.3288.91
Payout Ratio36.49%47.20%57.90%68.60%79.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.1342.4151.5160.4269.1577.6982.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)38.1738.5638.95
Year 2 PV (M)41.7142.5743.43
Year 3 PV (M)44.0345.3946.78
Year 4 PV (M)45.3547.2349.17
Year 5 PV (M)45.8548.2450.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)693.47729.58767.18
Equity Value (M)908.58951.57996.23
Shares Outstanding (M)189.32189.32189.32
Fair Value$4.80$5.03$5.26
Upside / Downside152.59%164.54%176.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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