Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Bank Permata Tbk (BNLI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,747.19 - $20,138.82$7,367.55
Multi-Stage$2,123.75 - $2,322.39$2,221.25
Blended Fair Value$4,794.40
Current Price$5,950.00
Upside-19.42%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%18.02%25.0015.008.500.000.000.000.000.000.004.60
YoY Growth--66.67%76.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-3.60%
Dividend Yield--0.99%1.55%0.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,663,858.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,085,439.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,578,419.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)732,771.60457,982.25274,789.35
Cash Retained (M)2,578,419.002,578,419.002,578,419.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-732,771.60-457,982.25-274,789.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,845,647.402,120,436.752,303,629.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36,181.3536,181.3536,181.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share51.0158.6163.67
LTM Dividend per Share30.0030.0030.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share51.0158.6163.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend81.0188.6193.67
WACC / Discount Rate7.78%7.78%7.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,747.19$7,367.55$20,138.82
Upside / Downside-37.02%23.82%238.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,663,858.003,902,008.774,155,639.344,425,755.904,713,430.035,019,802.985,170,397.07
Payout Ratio29.63%41.70%53.78%65.85%77.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,085,439.001,627,155.612,234,709.392,914,370.443,672,945.774,517,822.684,782,617.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.78%7.78%7.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,495,513.901,509,689.391,523,864.87
Year 2 PV (M)1,887,747.001,923,703.271,959,998.76
Year 3 PV (M)2,262,709.782,327,664.042,393,849.63
Year 4 PV (M)2,620,957.532,721,752.162,825,426.42
Year 5 PV (M)2,963,029.783,106,145.223,254,738.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)65,609,999.5368,778,987.0472,069,259.16
Equity Value (M)76,839,957.5180,367,941.1384,027,136.89
Shares Outstanding (M)36,181.3536,181.3536,181.35
Fair Value$2,123.75$2,221.25$2,322.39
Upside / Downside-64.31%-62.67%-60.97%

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