DDM Analysis: BBCA.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$25,472.95 - $91,921.66	$81,047.33
Multi-Stage	$11,930.88 - $13,037.98	$12,474.35
Blended Fair Value	$46,760.84
Current Price	$8,675.00
Upside	439.03%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	31.34%	27.21%	277.51	212.51	155.01	111.40	110.60	71.00	52.00	42.00	35.00	30.60
YoY Growth	-	-	30.59%	37.10%	39.14%	0.72%	55.77%	36.54%	23.81%	20.00%	14.38%	22.40%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.26%	2.16%	1.77%	1.40%	1.78%	1.29%	0.95%	0.90%	1.06%	1.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	56,976,535.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	36,982,515.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	19,994,020.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	11,395,307.00	7,122,066.88	4,273,240.13
Cash Retained (M)	19,994,020.00	19,994,020.00	19,994,020.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-11,395,307.00	-7,122,066.88	-4,273,240.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	8,598,713.00	12,871,953.13	15,720,779.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	123,270.28	123,270.28	123,270.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share	69.75	104.42	127.53
LTM Dividend per Share	300.01	300.01	300.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	69.75	104.42	127.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend	369.77	404.43	427.54
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$25,472.95	$81,047.33	$91,921.66
Upside / Downside	193.64%	834.26%	959.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	56,976,535.00	60,680,009.78	64,624,210.41	68,824,784.09	73,298,395.05	78,062,790.73	80,404,674.45
Payout Ratio	64.91%	69.93%	74.94%	79.96%	84.98%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	36,982,515.00	42,431,504.54	48,432,611.59	55,034,589.46	62,290,196.66	70,256,511.66	74,374,323.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	39,271,718.21	39,643,961.98	40,016,205.76
Year 2 PV (M)	41,487,840.61	42,278,067.44	43,075,749.25
Year 3 PV (M)	43,632,504.87	44,885,037.28	46,161,313.68
Year 4 PV (M)	45,707,302.18	47,465,076.03	49,273,068.25
Year 5 PV (M)	47,713,792.82	50,018,386.86	52,411,183.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,252,909,995.42	1,313,426,016.69	1,376,258,128.53
Equity Value (M)	1,470,723,154.11	1,537,716,546.29	1,607,195,648.60
Shares Outstanding (M)	123,270.28	123,270.28	123,270.28
Fair Value	$11,930.88	$12,474.35	$13,037.98
Upside / Downside	37.53%	43.80%	50.29%

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PT Bank Central Asia Tbk (BBCA.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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