Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Chori Co., Ltd. (8014.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,466.71 - $7,189.23$5,694.87
Multi-Stage$3,569.34 - $3,893.32$3,728.43
Blended Fair Value$4,711.65
Current Price$3,935.00
Upside19.74%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS13.45%14.02%121.57113.0991.7164.8445.8164.6861.6844.7653.6533.76
YoY Growth--7.50%23.32%41.43%41.54%-29.17%4.87%37.81%-16.57%58.89%3.10%
Dividend Yield--3.01%3.17%3.10%3.32%2.66%3.51%3.46%2.29%2.56%2.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,733.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)741.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,991.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,946.601,216.63729.98
Cash Retained (M)8,991.508,991.508,991.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,946.60-1,216.63-729.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,044.907,774.888,261.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.6424.6424.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share285.87315.49335.24
LTM Dividend per Share30.0930.0930.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share285.87315.49335.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend315.96345.58365.33
WACC / Discount Rate12.96%12.96%12.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4,466.71$5,694.87$7,189.23
Upside / Downside13.51%44.72%82.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,733.0010,365.6511,039.4111,756.9712,521.1813,335.0513,735.11
Payout Ratio7.62%24.09%40.57%57.05%73.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)741.502,497.574,478.806,707.049,206.0312,001.5512,704.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.96%12.96%12.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,190.212,210.972,231.73
Year 2 PV (M)3,444.273,509.873,576.10
Year 3 PV (M)4,523.074,652.924,785.22
Year 4 PV (M)5,444.315,653.685,869.03
Year 5 PV (M)6,224.086,524.706,836.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)66,135.0069,329.3572,645.95
Equity Value (M)87,960.9491,881.4995,944.86
Shares Outstanding (M)24.6424.6424.64
Fair Value$3,569.34$3,728.43$3,893.32
Upside / Downside-9.29%-5.25%-1.06%

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