Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Pan Pacific International Holdings Corporation (7532.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Discount StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,062.86 - $6,004.93$2,013.12
Multi-Stage$613.00 - $670.50$641.23
Blended Fair Value$1,327.17
Current Price$991.80
Upside33.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS25.00%21.80%6.774.183.583.353.172.221.951.371.161.05
YoY Growth--62.00%16.72%6.98%5.52%42.97%13.61%42.33%18.22%10.13%11.82%
Dividend Yield--0.68%0.57%0.57%0.65%0.68%0.45%0.54%0.48%0.55%0.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)90,512.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20,297.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)70,215.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18,102.4011,314.006,788.40
Cash Retained (M)70,215.0070,215.0070,215.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-18,102.40-11,314.00-6,788.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)52,112.6058,901.0063,426.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,997.632,997.632,997.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share17.3819.6521.16
LTM Dividend per Share6.776.776.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share17.3819.6521.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend24.1626.4227.93
WACC / Discount Rate7.90%7.90%7.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,062.86$2,013.12$6,004.93
Upside / Downside7.16%102.98%505.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)90,512.0096,395.28102,660.97109,333.94116,440.64124,009.28127,729.56
Payout Ratio22.42%35.94%49.45%62.97%76.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20,297.0034,644.1950,770.7768,847.4389,059.54111,608.36118,149.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.90%7.90%7.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)31,806.8832,108.3732,409.86
Year 2 PV (M)42,795.2043,610.3344,433.14
Year 3 PV (M)53,279.4454,808.9056,367.36
Year 4 PV (M)63,276.5965,710.0368,212.99
Year 5 PV (M)72,803.1176,319.5379,970.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,573,597.831,649,603.201,728,517.46
Equity Value (M)1,837,559.051,922,160.352,009,911.33
Shares Outstanding (M)2,997.632,997.632,997.63
Fair Value$613.00$641.23$670.50
Upside / Downside-38.19%-35.35%-32.40%

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