Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Beijing Yupont Electric Power Technology Co., Ltd. (688597.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.63 - $78.06$73.16
Multi-Stage$10.99 - $12.03$11.50
Blended Fair Value$42.33
Current Price$8.35
Upside406.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.84%7.61%0.060.100.050.170.090.090.000.030.020.05
YoY Growth---43.40%117.74%-72.57%99.41%-1.37%3,918.42%-91.17%1.57%-45.31%58.89%
Dividend Yield--0.71%1.73%0.66%2.53%1.19%1.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)89.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)55.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.9411.216.73
Cash Retained (M)55.5855.5855.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.94-11.21-6.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.6444.3748.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)228.48228.48228.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.190.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.190.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$28.63$73.16$78.06
Upside / Downside242.89%776.15%834.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)89.6995.52101.73108.34115.38122.88126.57
Payout Ratio38.03%48.43%58.82%69.21%79.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.1146.2559.8374.9891.85110.59117.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)42.9643.3743.77
Year 2 PV (M)51.6152.6053.59
Year 3 PV (M)60.0861.8063.56
Year 4 PV (M)68.3570.9873.68
Year 5 PV (M)76.4380.1383.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,212.522,319.382,430.34
Equity Value (M)2,511.952,628.252,748.90
Shares Outstanding (M)228.48228.48228.48
Fair Value$10.99$11.50$12.03
Upside / Downside31.66%37.76%44.08%

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